Immigrants in the US (Jan 2025) – all-time record high
Drop by June 2025 – first decline since the 1960s
of all immigrants are here legally
Undocumented immigrants (record, 2023)
First decline in 60+ years
More immigrants left or were deported than arrived. The immigrant population shrank for the first time since the 1960s.
Shifting origins
More newcomers from South America (20%, up from 13%). Fewer from Asia (24%, down from 29%) and Africa (5%, down from 8%).
19% of the US workforce is immigrant
That's over 750,000 fewer than in January. Construction (34%), agriculture, and healthcare are hit hardest.
Fear is rising
43% of immigrants say they worry "a lot or some" – up from 33% in March 2025. Interior raids and deportations are the main reason.
Cities depend on immigrants
Places like Las Vegas and Orlando only grew because of immigration. Without immigrant labour, many cities and rural regions face population decline.
Public opinion: divided
50% of Americans disapprove of Trump's immigration approach (Jan 2026, up from 45% in May 2025). Support is falling.
| President | Avg. Border Encounters / yr | Deportations / yr | Key Approach | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obama (2012–16) | ~550,000 | ~240,000 (record) | High deportations + DACA for "Dreamers" | Mixed |
| Trump 1 (2017–20) | ~450,000 | ~220,000 | Zero-tolerance, family separation, border wall | Restrictive |
| Biden (2021–24) | ~1.7M (peaked at 2.2M) | ~175,000 | Open initially → tightened mid-2024 | Open → Tightening |
| Trump 2 (2025–) | ~237,000 FY2025 | Goal: 1M/yr; rising sharply | 181 exec. orders in 100 days, military, interior raids, El Salvador prison | Most restrictive in 50+ yrs |
"If we want the type of economic growth we historically consider successful, we are going to have to increase inflows of immigrants. There is no real way around that."Michael Strain – Director, American Enterprise Institute (AEI)
"There is no question the US economy will get smaller as you deport a lot of the workforce. Fewer people means a smaller economy."Kent Smetters – Professor, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania
"We need immigration. Foreign-born workers are critical to the labour force – especially as the population is aging."Stephanie Roth – Chief Economist, Wolfe Research
"These analyses miss the forest for the trees by not accounting for the immense costs illegal immigration imposes on everyday Americans: crime, rising housing costs, eroding social trust."Kush Desai – White House Spokesman (counter-argument)
- FactWhy did the US immigrant population decline in 2025 for the first time in over 60 years? Name two causes.
- FactHow does Trump's second term differ from his first when it comes to immigration policy? Give two specific examples.
- Your OpinionEconomists say the US needs immigrants to grow. The White House says immigration has costs. Which side do you find more convincing – and why?
- Your OpinionShould a country have the right to decide exactly who can enter? Where does national sovereignty end and humanitarian responsibility begin?
- Connect to the bookThink of Julia from "I Am Not Your Perfect Mexican Daughter." How would she feel reading these 2025 statistics? What would have changed for her?
US Immigration 2025 – Worksheet
Part A – Fill in the Blanks
1. In January 2025, the US had a record million immigrants – the first time the number had been that high.
2. By June 2025, the population dropped by million – the first since the 1960s.
3. About % of immigrants in the US are here legally; % are undocumented.
4. Border encounters in FY 2025 fell to – the lowest level since .
5. Trump issued executive immigration actions in his first 100 days back in office.
Part B – Multiple Choice (Circle the correct answer)
1. The share of the US workforce that is immigrant (June 2025):
15% 19% 25% 34%
2. Which president had the highest average border encounters?
Obama Trump 1 Biden Trump 2
3. The Wharton economist Kent Smetters argues that mass deportation will:
Boost wages for all Shrink the US economy Reduce inflation Have no effect
Part C – Short Answer (2–3 sentences each)
1. What two economic sectors are most affected by the decline in immigrant workers?
2. In your own words: why do most economists say the US needs immigration?
Part D – Quote Analysis
Read the two quotes from the lesson. Fill in the table and then give your own view.
| Speaker | Main Argument (in your own words) | Do you agree? Why / Why not? |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Strain (AEI) | ||
| White House (Desai) |
Part E – Your Opinion (5–8 sentences · for homework or in class)
Choose ONE: